Shivering on the 49th Parallel
Monday, 27 September 2004
OK I thought I would take this time (now that I have some) to point out some people who have really made a difference in the last two weeks.
Monday, 27 September 2004 08:56:14 (Pacific Standard Time, UTC-08:00) | Comments [0] | Hurricane#

OK so it's bad enough that we're up to L (for Lisa) already and it's not even October yet. Four major hurricanes have hit Florida in one season. Cayman got hit by a Cat5 (not Cat5e, and not 802.11a/b/g) AND the day after Hurricane Charley passed by us, there was a 6.1 earthquake measured just south of Grand Cayman as well.

Now Mt St Helens is acting up again. Dozens of small earthquakes measured around the crater over the weekend. Scientists are flying over the dome today to measure gases and see what's going on. I still remember The Big One back in 1980. It was my seventh birthday, and we just moved to a new house. My mom said it sounded like a car hit the side of the house, and that was in Burnaby, a good 300 miles or so away from the blast.

Is it just me, or did George Bush use the cash cheat from Sim City on the USA one too many times? The only way we'll know for sure is if Godzilla turns up and starts stomping through Seattle!

Monday, 27 September 2004 07:27:06 (Pacific Standard Time, UTC-08:00) | Comments [0] | Hurricane#
Sunday, 26 September 2004

WISH YOU WERE HERE. Ivan from ISS via APOD

I have not heard gunfire at all in the last two weeks, and I live in West Bay which generally is the armpit of Grand Cayman. We've slept with machetes nearby, just in case, but haven't had anyone coming around the house at all at night. I HAVE seen police patrolling around at night with all their lights on, “showing the flag”.

I've been reading some of the accounts of people who have left and got quoted in newspapers and online and stuff. Some of it is accurate, and some of it is just complete and utter BS.

The only gang of men armed with machetes I saw was on the Monday after the storm, two of them also had axes, and one had a chainsaw.

They were not running around menacing anybody, they were walking through ankle deep water and trying to clear away fallen trees so the roads would be open, and in some instances, access could be granted to houses that were “blocked in” by limbs and trees.

The first day that they said the gas stations might be open, there were huge long lines. Today I drove right into On The Run Esso in Industrial park, went in and got some chicken strips and a cold Dr Pepper. Joanne was saying that the third day that the gas stations were open, she was in line, got in and out in about 20 mins.

The Tuesday after the storm was chaotic at the airport. the terminal was closed, and Cayman Airways was operating a medical evac flight, and then 2 or 3 other flights out of the maintenance hangar. Customs and Immigration had tables set up and were trying to function as normal for the few people that were inbound with supplies, and keeping track of who had left. By Friday they had the terminal cleaned up enough and got the emergency generator back online so that people could be processed through at the check-in counters and screened through the security checkpoint as per usual. As soon as there were no more free flights, the crowds all dispersed.

I have about 700 more pictures that I copied from Everton whom I work with. I might take some time tonight to pick some of them and post them to the photo albums page in the next day or so. I also have video that Brad took before and during the storm, and that I took when I went with him on the Monday after the storm, but that's a long ways off, editing-wise.

Courtenay Platt, a local photographer has some pictures posted at Blue Ocean Art.
David Wolfe, another local photographer has 350 or so pictures posted on his web site.
Arthur McTaggart, one of the SysAdmins at Cable & Wireless posted some photos from during the storm on one of C&Ws servers. This one may or may not still be up.
David Olson has nearly 1000 photos online on his site now, using Coppermine, a free PHP gallery available at Sourceforge. The cool thing about that site is each photo has a “comments” section that has turned into an impromptu discussion board

Today I sunburned my back while working on some cars. Out of 4 of them, Im hoping to have one working reliably in the next few days so I can turn in my rental which is going to start breaking the bank soon, even with the great rate they gave me(plug plug plug). I was supposed to go to Tampa today and delivery some data, but the flight was cancelled because Hurricane Jeanne is passing by Tampa right about.... now.

Man I'm going to need a vacation soon... somewhere with cold and snow... a place where the women flock like the salmon of Capistrano... a place where the beer flows like wine! Yes my friends, I'm talking about a little place called ASSSPEN. I hear California is beautiful this time of year. :-)

Sunday, 26 September 2004 12:51:43 (Pacific Standard Time, UTC-08:00) | Comments [0] | Hurricane | Links#
Friday, 24 September 2004

I have another 4 or 5 days of journal entries handwritten in a book, I just havent gotten around to organizing it and typing it. I can't believe it was almost 2 weeks ago already.

My car is pretty much toast. I stopped by GT Automotive this morning, a couple of the guys were around and I asked them if they knew when they would be re-opening again, and they said Monday, but dont bring your car in, we have no room for it. I said well i cant easily do that anyway, id have to drag/tow it. They took my name and phone number and said they would come out and look at it when they could, but considering that it's an Integra and the water was half-way up the drivers seat, they'll probably come out, look at it for 5 mins and give me a form for Insurance that says it's a total loss. Even if they could get it started, chances are that something else would go ithin the next few months, or even start a fire. They were hesitant to work on the cars and charge people those rates because they didn't think it was fair that someone pays 500 bucks to get their car running and then it dies or catches fire in two months. Don't you wish all mechanics were that honest? :-)

It wouldnt have been so bad if I actually HAD insurance though. I had let it lapse until this week because I was waiting to get paid to renew it. But even if I had insurance, I only had “3rd party liability” insurance on it, not Comprehensive which would have covered this. Last night I was listening to the proceedings from the legislative assembly, and the Leader of Gov't Business (awkward way of saying the guy in charge who's not the Governor) was talking about transportation and said that according to his sources between 5000 and 10000 cars were destroyed.  He also mentioned that most of the cars only had 3rd party liability insurance, and said something about one of the laws/rules that cars older than 4-5 years were not eligible for comprehensive insurance. that was new to me. if that was true, then I couldn't have gotten it for my car anyway (which was 14 years old but looked about 2 or 3 :'( ) He suggessted that Gov't should relax the 27% duty on importation of cars temporarily. Sounds good to me! Japanese Vehicles is going to be pretty busy shipping stuff here for the next while, I think. It's by far the cheapest way to get a vehicle, and since they're all RHD cars, they can come straight in. Personally, I think Im going to start scouring the auto trader in the US. Maybe even Ebay Motors. Mike at Sprite was telling me about his adventure buying a car on eBay last time I was home.

Friday, 24 September 2004 06:50:50 (Pacific Standard Time, UTC-08:00) | Comments [0] | Hurricane#
Thursday, 23 September 2004
Journal entry from Sunday morning at the peak of the storm
Thursday, 23 September 2004 07:57:41 (Pacific Standard Time, UTC-08:00) | Comments [0] | Hurricane#
Wednesday, 22 September 2004
Journal entry from Saturday night and Sunday Morning when the storm ripped through here
Wednesday, 22 September 2004 07:16:42 (Pacific Standard Time, UTC-08:00) | Comments [0] | Hurricane#
Tuesday, 21 September 2004

OK, I have some photos up now. Click Photo Albums over on the right there, and there are 4 photo galleries with 20 pictures each in them. that way those of you who are still on dialup wont get hammered all at once.

 

Tuesday, 21 September 2004 08:17:34 (Pacific Standard Time, UTC-08:00) | Comments [0] | Hurricane#
Monday, 20 September 2004

OK this is something I could REALLY use right about now

Coleman Portable Power Kit it's a solar charger for cell phones/mp3s cameras, etc and also is a solar-powered light and radio.

The problem is that Amazon says it takes 1-2 weeks to ship. Dat No Good, Mon. it's also for sale at Costco, but they don't have any availability online, other than their online store which again says “1-2 weeks” which is no good.

Could you PLEASE call/visit your local Costco stores and see if they have it in stock? Email me (address at bottom of this page) if you find one, and I'll give you an address in Miami to send it to that will get it here pretty quickly.

Thank you for the calls & emails. Along with penis enlargement, viagra pills, online dating and home refinanance emails, there are over 1000 emails in my inbox. I quickly scanned through them today when I got online, and replied to a few of them, but don't be scared if I haven't replied yet, I can only get online for a little while while I'm at work, and when I'm here Im usually you know, working. :-)

I'll be posting stuff here, and once I get back on my feet I have about 15 pages of notes I kept during the last week of the storm and it's aftermath. I have close to 200 pictures and video clips to sort through, size, describe and post as well.

If you'd like to send me a text message, go to Cable & Wireless's SMS portal and type out your 160char message there. Please leave a few chars at the end to sign it, as it will just say “from” 555. My mobile # is 925-3833. That's 925-DUDE. :-)

Monday, 20 September 2004 14:20:37 (Pacific Standard Time, UTC-08:00) | Comments [0] | Hurricane#
Friday, 17 September 2004
When that 155mph Storm asks you if you've paid your dues, you can look that bastard right in the eye and say "Yes sir, the check is in the mail!"
Friday, 17 September 2004 12:20:44 (Pacific Standard Time, UTC-08:00) | Comments [1] | Hurricane#
Saturday, 11 September 2004

still have power... pretty surprising. last gusts were about 80mph Albie thinks, and that was pretty scary.

patio doors in the back here are groaning and creaking with the wind already. shit's supposed to start hitting the fan betwen 12-2 and the eye between 6 and 8.

going to be a long night.

Saturday, 11 September 2004 19:26:18 (Pacific Standard Time, UTC-08:00) | Comments [3] | Hurricane#

whoever just tried to call me, call back, it rang once and then said missed call

Saturday, 11 September 2004 18:22:30 (Pacific Standard Time, UTC-08:00) | Comments [2] | Hurricane#

Cell phone have stopped working, landlines are down

but curiously, the DSL modem is still syncing with the CO.

 

we're moving beds around right now, trying to avoid the windows and thinigs like that.

expecting the power to go out at any time now.

Saturday, 11 September 2004 17:34:38 (Pacific Standard Time, UTC-08:00) | Comments [0] | Hurricane#

west bay shelters are full, so we're stuck here... this is the last computer up, I already put my stuff away. packet8 is down and wrapped up, too. power is SCHDULED to go out around 9pm. water has already been turned off. we were just outside on the patio and saw a big bright flash at the same time the lights flivckered, so as soon as that shit starts happening they'll cut if ff to prevent shorts adn damage. At that point we're on batteries and stuff.

Saturday, 11 September 2004 17:02:44 (Pacific Standard Time, UTC-08:00) | Comments [0] | Hurricane#

OK, that was a big gust. Albert and I were on the northeast side and a gust came through and the deck felt like it moved... IM going to stay online a little longer, but soon we're going to have to decide what to do and where to go.

unfortunately the shelters don't allow any pets... :'( there are 2 dogs, a cat, tweeter and toby here with us

It's starting to get bad here, this might be the last update. the eye is supposed to pass right over us at around 7am tomorrow, and then we'll go through all of this again, but from the opposite direction...

 

acables flickering now. power and net could go at any time

Saturday, 11 September 2004 15:24:59 (Pacific Standard Time, UTC-08:00) | Comments [4] | Hurricane#

it's' about 50mph out there now, and the gusts are getting pretty strong. Toby is in the closet in the bathroom, tweeter is on the kitchen counter at the moment, but he'll probably go into another inside room/closet soon, too.

Just heard a report from Comfort Suites that they're all being evacuated along with the rest of Seven Mile Beach, but where are they going to put all those people? there are 2500 spots in the shelters and as of 2:00 there were about 500 people int he West Bay shelters. Someone else called up here and said that there are trees down in Red Bay already. Were up still, with power, water, cable & internet. webcam is up, if you have yahoo messenger, add me: docjelly@yahoo.com and you can view it too.

Next update from the NHC is at 7:00, we'll be waiting for it.

Saturday, 11 September 2004 14:32:21 (Pacific Standard Time, UTC-08:00) | Comments [0] | Hurricane#
5pm update has the eye crossing Grand Cayman from Southeast to Northwest.
Saturday, 11 September 2004 13:40:35 (Pacific Standard Time, UTC-08:00) | Comments [0] | Hurricane#

if you have Yahoo Messenger, you can view my webcam. my yahoo userid is docjelly@yahoo.com

The Camera is pointing out the window facing west right now and it will stay up as long as we have net and power.

 

Saturday, 11 September 2004 13:06:17 (Pacific Standard Time, UTC-08:00) | Comments [0] | Hurricane#
BULLETIN HURRICANE IVAN UPDATE NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 330 PM EDT SAT SEP 11 2004 DATA JUST RECEIVED FROM AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE PLANE INDICATE THAT IVAN HAS REGAINED CATEGORY FIVE INTENSITY ON THE SAFFIR/SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. THE CENTRAL PRESSURE HAS FALLEN TO AN EXTRAPOLATED PRESSURE OF 914 MB AND THE ESTIMATED SURFACE WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO 165 MPH...270 KM/HR. THESE NEW VALUES OR FURTHER UPDATES WILL BE INCORPORATED IN THE NEXT ADVISORY.
Saturday, 11 September 2004 12:06:28 (Pacific Standard Time, UTC-08:00) | Comments [0] | Hurricane#

www.nhc.noaa.gov and www.gov.ky for advisories and updates til then

 

mark

 

Saturday, 11 September 2004 08:06:12 (Pacific Standard Time, UTC-08:00) | Comments [0] | Hurricane#

Things do not look good. the 11am advisory from NOAA puts the eye of Ivan VERY FUCKING CLOSE to us, which means that Grand Cayman will get the full force of the NW quadrant of the storm.

I've moved everything downstairs thinking the roof would come off first, then after we boarded up starting taking everything back upstairs because now the biggest threat was flooding, but now it really doesn't matter. 150mph winds and 20 foot storm surge/coastal flooding means that no matter what I'm screwed. I hate to even think about it, but Im starting to get my head around the fact that WHEN it gets worse and we're forced to leave, that everything in the apartment is going to be a total loss.

Our power went out right after the first rain band/squall came through, but apparently it's pretty localized, as Matty is onine over at the Ranch, and Renee is online who lives behind Fosters at the Strand. Todd, you remember how hard the rain was hammering on the roof when that storm came through when you were down? well it was about THREE TIMES HARDER than that. THEN the power went out. Our parking lot has about 2-3 inches of standing water in it at the moment, and it's only going to get worse and turn into feet if it rains like that constantly.

I've packed a “go box” of food & stuff in a big rubbermaid containerand Im going to have to re-evaluate what I've put in my pelican box. The laptop was up on top of the kitchen cupboards, but now Im going to put it in the waterproof case.

OH my neighbour just popped online so the power must be on back home. Im gonna finish this up and then head back there, plug in the packet8 phone and do some calling while I can.

Jenny: birds are in the bathroom up on high, your clothes (most of them) are in your laundry sacs and inside big garbage bags.

I'll call when I can.

 

111458W.gif (30.75 KB)
Saturday, 11 September 2004 07:55:00 (Pacific Standard Time, UTC-08:00) | Comments [0] | Hurricane#
Friday, 10 September 2004
We "borrowed" some materials and boarded up all our windows this afternoon.
Friday, 10 September 2004 16:47:27 (Pacific Standard Time, UTC-08:00) | Comments [1] | Hurricane#
Ivan has pushed a little more west on the forecast track, which is bad for us...
Friday, 10 September 2004 14:02:14 (Pacific Standard Time, UTC-08:00) | Comments [0] | Hurricane#

<excerpt>

Advisory

Hurricane Ivan Noon Friday NHC Advisory
10-SEP-2004
Issued 11:45 am: The centre of Hurricane Ivan is currently projected to pass 16 miles ENE of Cayman Brac at its closest point on Saturday, and with the Category 4 system expected to strengthen further, the Sister Islands are urged to prepare as for direct impact.

At the same time, a slight change in the projected path could result in Grand Cayman experiencing similar conditions. All three islands should therefore ensure that they are fully prepared.

Nature of Impact
Latest projections indicate that Cayman Brac and Little Cayman should begin feeling tropical storm force winds from early Saturday morning. On Grand Cayman tropical storm force winds are anticipated to begin early Saturday evening.

Cayman Brac and Little Cayman can expect that hurricane force winds will start at on Saturday night and will continue until early Sunday morning; following that, tropical storm force winds are expected to last until Sunday afternoon.

Battering waves and seas will affect all coasts of the Sister Islands from early Saturday and the north and west coasts of Grand Cayman from this evening (Friday) through to late Sunday.

Average daily rainfall of greater than three to six inches, beginning Friday evening through to Monday, is expected. Higher rainfall accumulations are anticipated over the Sister Islands. Rain bands are expected to spread across the entire Cayman area from this evening.
This could lead to extensive flooding in the Sister Islands and on Grand Cayman over the entire weekend.

Wave heights may rise to six to nine feet, especially over Cayman Brac from late tonight (Friday), increasing to 12 feet or greater by Saturday morning. These battering waves will persist over the Sister Islands through Sunday morning.

Aggravating the already dangerous situation for the Sister Islands, high tide is expected around 8pm Saturday at about the same time as predicted maximum winds for Cayman Brac and Little Cayman. Consequently, at these times, these islands are likely to have higher than expected storm surge levels, resulting in increased severity of battering from breaking waves.

Full Advisory Here

Friday, 10 September 2004 10:04:38 (Pacific Standard Time, UTC-08:00) | Comments [0] | Hurricane#

I've re-activated my old cell phone number this morning, as my GSM phone has a rather short battery life. If landlines/power is out it'll be my only comm tool, so I want to make sure I dont have to run my car for an hour to charge the GSM phone if I don't have to.

If you don't have my old cell number, drop me a line (link at the bottom of the page) today or tonight and I'll send it to you. my home number is unplugged at the mo, and my VoIP phone is disconnected and the ATA is in my laptop bag.

Update: my phone won't “recharge” so don't bother calling it. I'll have my cell phone on until the batteries give out. I might switch it off for awhile to conserve batteries once I'm hunkered down, so leave a voicemail and I'll get it when I power back on

Friday, 10 September 2004 05:32:37 (Pacific Standard Time, UTC-08:00) | Comments [0] | Hurricane#

Results for Grand Cayman, Cayman Islands (19.28N, 81.35W):
The approximate Closest Point of Approach (CPA) is located near 20.3N, 80.1W or about 107.3 miles (172.7 km) from your location. The estimated time of when the eye will be at that location is in about 47.5 hours.

Considering that Hurricane Force winds extend for 50 miles from the eye, and TS force winds up to 175 miles from the eye, Grand Cayman can be placed in the “less fucked” column. This is if it stays on it's projected path, and since when does Mother Nature follow predictions? Now on to the “Well and truly fucked” column:

Results for Cayman Brac, Cayman Islands (19.76N, 79.74W):
The approximate Closest Point of Approach (CPA) is located near 19.8N, 79.6W or about 8.5 miles (13.7 km) from your location. The estimated time of when the eye will be at that location is in about 42.9 hours.

If Ivan follows it's forecast track, the eye will pass 8.5 miles away from the island. Let me emphasize that the eye will pass 8.5 miles away from the island. Can it get any worse? Well yes it can.. Brac & Little Cayman are in line for the NW quadrant of the storm which is the worst of the four. They've increased the storm surge to 5-8 feet as well. Little Cayman is little more than a big sandbar. Cayman Brac at least has some structure to it, and a lot of people are planning to ride the storm out in the caves on it's namesake bluff. Im on my way to work in a few mins, and then there'll be the 7am update from NOAA and I'll post more info then.

Friday, 10 September 2004 03:35:18 (Pacific Standard Time, UTC-08:00) | Comments [0] | Hurricane#
Thursday, 09 September 2004

Results for Grand Cayman, Cayman Islands (19.28N, 81.35W):
The approximate Closest Point of Approach (CPA) is located near 20.4N, 80.0W or about 114.3 miles (183.9 km) from your location. The estimated time of when the eye will be at that location is in about 53.3 hours

results from “Closest Point of Approach” on www.stormcarib.com 

As of 10pm local, the track has been moved slightly left, or almost directly over Cayman Brac. Bad day to be on the Brac tomorrow night and Saturday. If we're 114 miles away from the eye, then we should fare not too badly. Still only 3-5 foot storm surge, but on top of abnormally high tides (it was REALLY high tonight when I was driving home) it could make for some big waves. I think the oceanfront across the street from us should be fairly well protected, but the N and NW faces of West Bay, and South of Georgetown will take a pretty good thrashing, like they did with Michelle. Nat and I figure that we'll get up to about 100mph winds here in Grand Cayman, but all bets are off for Cayman Brac and Little Cayman. they're in the direct path of the NW Quadrant, which is packing the 150mph winds.

I have to be in at work at 7am, and we'll probably be outta there early. I'll post again in the AM and then again before I leave work.

Thursday, 09 September 2004 21:43:56 (Pacific Standard Time, UTC-08:00) | Comments [0] | Hurricane#

 As of 5PM Local, the National Hurricane Committee issued a Hurricane Warning for the Cayman Islands. This means we can expect Hurricane Conditions within 24 hours. Ivan is just a huge, huge storm. It's been downgraded to a category 4 hurricane now, because the winds have dropped to ONLY 150mph. It's forecast to fluctuate up and down from 4 to 5 between where it is now and when it makes significant landfall in Cuba Saturday night/Sunday morning.

We're getting some thunderstorms currently, the last lightning crash was so loud, I thought there was a car accident, and a co-worker was walking in the front door and thought it was an explosion and he jumped and nearly hit his head on the doorframe. We wont start to see real detorioration in conditions until tomorrow evening, and when we wake up Saturday morning, it'll be a'howlin. With the last update at 1700AST the eye was moved west almost passing directly over Cayman Brac. A couple more shifts west/south and it'll be right on top of us.

I don't have a lot of faith in most of the buildings here holding up to that. I havent been home all day, but I dont think management is putting up any boards at our apartment complex. They didn't for Charley, either and that one passed 25miles from here. One flying coconut through a window (and what are the chances of that happening) and 130mph winds will fill up the apartment like a balloon and blow out the other windows (and possibly eardrums) and if that doesnt equalize the pressure, then it'll pop the roof from the inside, which then can get “caught” by the outside wind and taken off. If any of the above happen, everything in the apt will be damaged by rain... and that's not taking any storm surge/large battering waves/flooding into account.

SO, Im finishing up here at work, going home to make preparations, positioning food & water so that they'll be accessible in the event that the structural integrity is compromised (a nice way of saying if the shit hits the fan). I'll be “packing” a go-bag with some underwear and socks & water & a flashlight & batteries in case I need to grab it and run on Saturday. It's not far from my apt to a shelter, but the road my apt is on is about 30 feet from the ocean, and there's an empty lot right across the street from us.. no other houses to stop the big waves. After seven years here, I could be back to square one.

Thursday, 09 September 2004 14:03:46 (Pacific Standard Time, UTC-08:00) | Comments [1] | Hurricane#
Effective immediately, airlines are being instructed to discontinue transporting visitors into the Cayman Islands until the "All Clear" has been issued. Residents will continue to have the opportunity to return until the airlines stop flying. Given the severity of the storm, the NHC continues to advise visitors to consider departing by Friday. Large numbers of visitors have already voluntarily ended their vacations early and departed.
Thursday, 09 September 2004 09:14:14 (Pacific Standard Time, UTC-08:00) | Comments [1] | Hurricane#
Thursday, 09 September 2004 07:11:09 (Pacific Standard Time, UTC-08:00) | Comments [0] | Hurricane#
Issued 8:30am: Overnight Hurricane Ivan strengthened into a Category 5 hurricane with sustained winds over 160mph. Residents are urged to continue taking all appropriate precautions for the forecast conditions. Hurricane Ivan is strong, dangerous and residents should continue their arrangements, planning for the possibility of being impacted directly by the storm.
Thursday, 09 September 2004 06:42:10 (Pacific Standard Time, UTC-08:00) | Comments [0] | Hurricane#

We'll be upgraded to a Hurricane Warning soon, which indicates Hurricane Force winds within 24 hours. Ay carumba. Ivan has a central pressure of 916mb and a 15mb drop in the last 7 hours. The last storm that was thi big was Mitch in 98, which dropped to 907mb at one point. NOAA's website describes a Category 5 storm as follows:

Category Five Hurricane:

Winds greater than 155 mph (135 kt or 249 km/hr). Storm surge generally greater than 18 ft above normal. Complete roof failure on many residences and industrial buildings. Some complete building failures with small utility buildings blown over or away. All shrubs, trees, and signs blown down. Complete destruction of mobile homes. Severe and extensive window and door damage. Low-lying escape routes are cut by rising water 3-5 hours before arrival of the center of the hurricane. Major damage to lower floors of all structures located less than 15 ft above sea level and within 500 yards of the shoreline. Massive evacuation of residential areas on low ground within 5-10 miles (8-16 km) of the shoreline may be required. Hurricane Mitch of 1998 was a Category Five hurricane at peak intensity over the western Caribbean. Hurricane Gilbert of 1988 was a Category Five hurricane at peak intensity and is one of the strongest Atlantic tropical cyclones of record.

The good news (for us at least) is that it's still forecast to pass to the northeast of cayman brac and make it's first landfall in Central Cuba. The predicted path of course is +/- 75 nautical miles, so it could come 75 miles closer, or 75 miles further away. We're still within the predicted path area.

With this latest news, you'll start to see people flurrying around the island making preparations. Yesterday people were pretty nonchalant about making preparations and buying supplies at the supermarkets, today those preparations will take on a more urgent note. Kirk's supermarket had crews out “pruning” the trees in their parking lot. I saw “pruning” because they were “pruned” the way my dad “prunes” trees leaving nothing much more than the trunk. We'll probably be making preparations at work now, too. They've added more flights, and American and Air Jamaica are sending extra, and bigger planes than usual to carry more people out.

OK I need to get out of bed and go get in traffic now, next update around 1100 local or so.

Thursday, 09 September 2004 04:19:36 (Pacific Standard Time, UTC-08:00) | Comments [0] | Hurricane#
Wednesday, 08 September 2004
This means that we can expect Hurricane conditions within 36 hours.
Wednesday, 08 September 2004 19:33:27 (Pacific Standard Time, UTC-08:00) | Comments [0] | Hurricane#

We're under a Hurricane Alert for Hurricane Ivan. I called my parents and Jenny last night and said “I have a bad feeling about this one...” I've been through a few now, some close brushes, some false alarms and some pretty close ones over the years down here starting with Georges in '98 which was a false alarm, Mitch later that year that took out the Lobster Pot dock, Irene in '99 which missed us, Debby in '00 that dissipated and re-strengthened after it passed us, Allison (from Texas), Chantal & Iris which didn't do any damage and Michelle that did in 2001 and Isidore & Lili in 2002. 2003 was a quiet year, but this year is crazy. I'll post updates as I hear/get them from various sources.

Weather resources
Cayman Government Hurricane Committee
Weather Underground Computer Model Map
Weather.com projected path
NOAA National Hurricane Center
3-Day Closeup projected path map (refresh for current map)

Wunderground Strike Probability Map
El Tiempo Cuba Weather & Doppler Radar (in Spanish)
Reports from the Islands (Storm Carib)
Home Weather Station on the East End of Grand Cayman

Wednesday, 08 September 2004 07:20:50 (Pacific Standard Time, UTC-08:00) | Comments [0] | Hurricane | Links#
Tuesday, 07 September 2004

OK, so he's 3rd on the all-time list of goals, 18th on the all-time list of points, Hart trophy winner (MVP) in 91, been on countless all-star teams and the Team USA World Cup team in 1996. And he's an asshole. I've been trying to find an picture that was emailed to me back around the time that he played for Team USA. It was a pic of Hull sitting on the bench with a variation of the Molson I AM ad caption that said I WAS CANADIAN. I just can't find it anywhere. This was from the Fox Sports Website:

The U.S. prepares for its clash against the Russians Monday, but Hull was approached by The Post after he did not play in a 3-1 victory over Slovakia Friday.

"I couldn't care less," he reportedly said. "It's no fun playing."

The Post approached Hull Sunday, but he refused to discuss the story. When the newspaper told him fans might be interested in the story, Hull said, "I don't give a ---- about the fans anymore."

What a complete and utter jackass. So much for being a role model to young kids and young players, especially right now with the future of the season and even the league undecided. With multi-millionaire prima donnas not wanting a salary cap trying to appeal to the fans (who shell out $90 a ticket and up to pay their ridiculously bloated salaries) about their plight, Hull goes and drops this bomb. Way to go, shithead.

Again, I don't want you to think I'm siding with the owners, I think $6.50 for a beer at the arena and $15 for a program (that was $2 when my dad had season's tickets) and more retail sales area than bathrooms is a bunch of arse, too.

Tuesday, 07 September 2004 15:38:07 (Pacific Standard Time, UTC-08:00) | Comments [0] | Rants | Hockey#

And the only prescription is

 

Don't get it yet? click here.

Zac, you better not click it.

Tuesday, 07 September 2004 15:05:34 (Pacific Standard Time, UTC-08:00) | Comments [0] | Links | WWW#
I wonder if I'll be the first one to use this term this year...
Tuesday, 07 September 2004 10:09:39 (Pacific Standard Time, UTC-08:00) | Comments [0] | Hurricane#
Monday, 06 September 2004
The Man, The Myth, The Legend: Mark Minasi's free powerpoint slideshow (PDF) boiling down all 1000+ pages of MS Documents on XP SP2 to about 60 or so slides.
Monday, 06 September 2004 13:14:45 (Pacific Standard Time, UTC-08:00) | Comments [0] | Links | Wireless | Microsoft#
Monday, 06 September 2004 09:40:00 (Pacific Standard Time, UTC-08:00) | Comments [1] | Hurricane | Links#
"They're the kind of scientists you would like to be but never quite dared to,"
Monday, 06 September 2004 07:33:59 (Pacific Standard Time, UTC-08:00) | Comments [0] | Links | WWW#
Sunday, 05 September 2004
Charley slams Florida from the west, then Frances from the East. Ivan is already a Cat3 and might come this way next weekend... on its' way to the gulf coast anywhere from texas to the florida panhandle.
Sunday, 05 September 2004 15:23:36 (Pacific Standard Time, UTC-08:00) | Comments [1] | Hurricane#
Thursday, 02 September 2004

It's late, I'm tired, I've been up all night wrestling with Frontpage 2003 to make some new photo galleries. I like the thought behind the Photo Gallery Web Component in FP, but it's execution sucks donkey balls. And it's not (very easily) modified. If you DO modify it, then next time you make a change within FrontPage, your changes get overwritten anyway. Sucks. Until I find a better solution, here's the link:

http://www.docjelly.com/htmldocs/albums.htm

Thursday, 02 September 2004 21:32:34 (Pacific Standard Time, UTC-08:00) | Comments [0] | Cayman | Links | Pictures#
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